Wednesday, January 21, 2009

2009 German economy worse since WWII

Germany's economy will dip lower in 2009 than at any time since World War II, the government predicted today.

The government forecasts a 2.25 percent downturn much lower than the previous prediction of 0.2% growth, made in October.

Exports will drop by a predicted 8.9% this year and the jobless rate would climb to an average of 8.4% in 2009, from 7.8% in 2008.

"The German economy is facing this year the greatest challenges since unification [in 1990]. Germany is integrated into the global economy like hardly any other industrialised country," said Germany's economy minister Michael Glos.




BBC News

German economy faces gloomy 2009
BBC News - 2 hours ago
Germany has predicted that its economy will shrink by 2.25% in 2009, which would be its worst performance in the post-World War II era.
Germany forecasts worst recession since World War II AFP
Germany Cuts Economic Outlook Wall Street Journal

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Thursday, November 13, 2008

Germany suffers deepest recession in decade

The German economy fell by 0.5 percent in second quarter after a 0.4 percent in the first quarter, the largest back-to-back declines since 1996.

Recessions in the European Union and United States together with the financial debacle will likely weigh down on the world economy causing a downward spiral that could take years to bottom out.

The Paris-based Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development said that it expects economies among its 30 member countries to shrink by about 0.3 percent in 2009.



BBC News

German Economy Enters Worst Recession in 12 Years (Update3)
Bloomberg - 1 hour ago
By Gabi Thesing Nov. 13 (Bloomberg) -- The German economy, Europe's largest, contracted more than economists expected in the third quarter, pushing the nation into the worst recession in at least 12 years.
Europe Trades Mixed; FTSE Falls 0.7% Wall Street Journal
Germany slides into recession guardian.co.uk


AFP
OECD says developed world in recession
The Associated Press - 17 minutes ago
LONDON (AP) - The world's developed economies, hard hit by the financial crisis, have slid into recession and will shrink further in 2009, a top international organization said Thursday.
German Recession Adds to Gloomy Economic Reports Washington Post
OECD Forecasts Recessions in the US, Europe, Japan (Update2) Bloomberg

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Sunday, October 05, 2008

Germany backs bank deposits

Shortly after its largest bailout in history, Germany guaranteed bank deposits for its citizens in a further attempt to address the credit crunch crisis.

Last week, Ireland and Greece backed bank deposits, and the UK raised its insurance cap from 35,000 pounds to 50,000 (US $88,400).

French President Nicolas Sarkozy in which Germany, France, Italy and the U.K. is working on a unified European Union response to the problem


Times Online
Germany guarantees private deposits
MarketWatch - 57 minutes ago

By Steve Goldstein, MarketWatch LONDON (MarketWatch) -- Germany became the latest, and by far the biggest, European country to explicitly guarantee the deposits in banks held by their citizens, in a move announced Sunday.

Hypo Real Gets EU50 Billion Government-Led Bailout (Update1) Bloomberg
Germany Moves to Shore Up Confidence in Economy New York Times

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Saturday, October 04, 2008

German bank announces collapse of rescue plan

With the $700 billion passed and actually swollen by another $150 billion in tax cuts, observers will be watching the markets closely.

Earlier bailout attempts did not work, and the hope here is that by handling all the highest risk mortgages at once, the government can turn things around.

There are, however, many things the plan does not cover. Overseas, for example, a major German real estate bank is involved in the largest rescue operation of the country's history.


German bank announces collapse of 35 billion euro rescue

Sat Oct 4, 4:01 PM ET

BERLIN (AFP) - German bank Hypo Real Estate (HRE) said Saturday that a planned 35-billion-euro (48-billion-dollar) rescue had fallen through after the banking consortium involved pulled out of the deal.

The rescue bid was the biggest in German history and came after HRE was sucked into the global financial turmoil through its inability to refinance debt, one of many high-profile European emergency cases in the past two weeks.

HRE said in a statement that a consortium of German banks taking part in the rescue had "refused to provide liquidity lines" and that it was seeking new measures.

The property lender said it was in the process of "determining the consequences" of the consortium's withdrawal on various divisions and that it would seek other solutions.

Earlier in the day, the Welt am Sonntag newspaper said in a report to appear on Sunday that the bailout plan would have to be reworked because the bank's cash needs had been underestimated.

The biggest German Bank, Deutsche Bank, had reportedly evaluated that HRE would need 20 billion euros in fresh capital by the end of next week.

Deutsche Bank warned in addition that "by the end of the year, there will be a shortfall of up to 50 billion euros and even of 70 to 100 billion by the end of 2009," the newspaper said.

Deutsche Bank issued the warning late Friday during a telephone conference with representatives of the German banking and insurance sector, the report said.

The rescue plan had comprised an immediate cash injection by private banks and by the European Central Bank, which was to be backed by a 35-million-euro guarantee.

Most of the backing, 26.5 billion euros, was to be provided by the German government, with the rest covered by private banks.

It was announced on September 29 following weekend talks between German officials and the banks, and given the green light on Thursday by the European Commission.

The Commission had hailed Berlin's bailout plan as "part of the solution" to the current financial crisis.

HRE was hobbled by debts incurred by a German-Irish subsidiary, Depfa, which it bought in October 2007, after the international financial crisis emerged with the collapse of the US market for high-risk, or subprime, mortgages.

Depfa specialises in the financing of public works projects.

The parent real-estate bank found itself unable to refinance operations owing to a credit squeeze that worsened after the US investment bank Lehman Brothers declared bankruptcy in September.

HRE shares had lost three-quarters of their value last Monday, and though they clawed back some ground over the week, they closed on Friday at 7.51 euros, down a hefty 44.4 percent from their level one week earlier.

In Paris meanwhile, German Chancellor Angela Merkel was attending European crisis talks on the financial crisis when it was announced that the HRE rescue plan had fallen through.

Merkel had told media earlier that "each country must take its responsibilities at a national level," and added: "It is important to act in a balanced way, and for countries not to cause harm to each other."

That comment appeared to be aimed at Ireland, which has issued a blanket guarantee to bank depositors without consulting its ne
ighbours.

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